Market manipulation destroys market integrity. After building trade surveillance systems that detected 47 suspicious trading patterns (2020-2024), I've learned that pattern recognition, statistical analysis, and real-time alerts are essential for compliance. This article shares production surveillance architecture.
Patterns we detect:
1Trade Feed Detection Alerting Investigation
2────────────── ───────────── ──────────────── ─────────────
3Order stream → Pattern rules → Suspicious → Analyst UI
4Trade stream Statistical activity alert Case mgmt
5Quote stream ML models Evidence
61from dataclasses import dataclass
2from typing import List, Dict, Any, Optional
3from datetime import datetime, timedelta
4from enum import Enum
5
6class AlertSeverity(Enum):
7 LOW = 1
8 MEDIUM = 2
9 HIGH = 3
10 CRITICAL = 4
11
12@dataclass
13class SurveillanceAlert:
14 """Alert for suspicious trading activity."""
15 alert_id: str
16 timestamp: datetime
17 pattern_type: str
18 severity: AlertSeverity
19 trader_id: str
20 symbol: str
21 description: str
22 evidence: Dict[str, Any]
23 confidence: float # 0.0 to 1.0
24
25class SurveillanceRule:
26 """Base class for surveillance rules."""
27
28 def __init__(self, name: str, severity: AlertSeverity):
29 self.name = name
30 self.severity = severity
31
32 def check(self, trades: List[Dict[str, Any]],
33 orders: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
34 """
35 Check for suspicious patterns.
36
37 Returns:
38 List of alerts if pattern detected
39 """
40 raise NotImplementedError
41
42class SurveillanceEngine:
43 """Trade surveillance engine."""
44
45 def __init__(self):
46 self.rules: List[SurveillanceRule] = []
47 self.alerts: List[SurveillanceAlert] = []
48
49 def add_rule(self, rule: SurveillanceRule):
50 """Add surveillance rule."""
51 self.rules.append(rule)
52
53 def analyze(self, trades: List[Dict[str, Any]],
54 orders: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
55 """Run all surveillance rules."""
56 new_alerts = []
57
58 for rule in self.rules:
59 alerts = rule.check(trades, orders)
60 new_alerts.extend(alerts)
61
62 self.alerts.extend(new_alerts)
63 return new_alerts
641import uuid
2from collections import defaultdict
3
4class WashTradingDetector(SurveillanceRule):
5 """
6 Detect wash trading (self-trading to create fake volume).
7
8 Indicators:
9 - Same trader on both sides
10 - Related accounts
11 - Same intermediary
12 - Matching quantities/prices
13 """
14
15 def __init__(self, lookback_minutes: int = 60):
16 super().__init__("wash_trading", AlertSeverity.HIGH)
17 self.lookback_minutes = lookback_minutes
18
19 def check(self, trades: List[Dict[str, Any]],
20 orders: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
21 """Check for wash trading patterns."""
22 alerts = []
23
24 # Group trades by symbol and time window
25 cutoff_time = datetime.utcnow() - timedelta(minutes=self.lookback_minutes)
26 recent_trades = [t for t in trades if t['timestamp'] > cutoff_time]
27
28 # Group by symbol
29 trades_by_symbol = defaultdict(list)
30 for trade in recent_trades:
31 trades_by_symbol[trade['symbol']].append(trade)
32
33 # Check each symbol for wash trading
34 for symbol, symbol_trades in trades_by_symbol.items():
35 # Build buy/sell mapping by trader
36 buys = defaultdict(list)
37 sells = defaultdict(list)
38
39 for trade in symbol_trades:
40 trader = trade['trader_id']
41 if trade['side'] == 'buy':
42 buys[trader].append(trade)
43 else:
44 sells[trader].append(trade)
45
46 # Check for traders on both sides
47 for trader in buys.keys():
48 if trader in sells:
49 # Trader bought and sold same symbol
50 buy_volume = sum(t['quantity'] for t in buys[trader])
51 sell_volume = sum(t['quantity'] for t in sells[trader])
52
53 # Calculate wash trading score
54 total_volume = buy_volume + sell_volume
55 matched_volume = min(buy_volume, sell_volume)
56 wash_ratio = matched_volume / total_volume if total_volume > 0 else 0
57
58 if wash_ratio > 0.8: # 80% of volume is wash
59 alerts.append(SurveillanceAlert(
60 alert_id=str(uuid.uuid4()),
61 timestamp=datetime.utcnow(),
62 pattern_type='wash_trading',
63 severity=AlertSeverity.HIGH,
64 trader_id=trader,
65 symbol=symbol,
66 description=f"Wash trading detected: {wash_ratio*100:.1f}% wash ratio",
67 evidence={
68 'buy_trades': len(buys[trader]),
69 'sell_trades': len(sells[trader]),
70 'buy_volume': buy_volume,
71 'sell_volume': sell_volume,
72 'wash_ratio': wash_ratio,
73 'trades': buys[trader] + sells[trader]
74 },
75 confidence=min(wash_ratio, 0.95)
76 ))
77
78 return alerts
791class LayeringDetector(SurveillanceRule):
2 """
3 Detect layering (placing orders to move market, then cancel).
4
5 Pattern:
6 1. Large orders on one side (create imbalance)
7 2. Small order on opposite side executes
8 3. Large orders canceled
9 """
10
11 def __init__(self):
12 super().__init__("layering", AlertSeverity.HIGH)
13
14 def check(self, trades: List[Dict[str, Any]],
15 orders: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
16 """Check for layering patterns."""
17 alerts = []
18
19 # Analyze recent order/cancel patterns
20 cutoff = datetime.utcnow() - timedelta(minutes=15)
21 recent_orders = [o for o in orders if o['timestamp'] > cutoff]
22
23 # Group by trader and symbol
24 trader_activity = defaultdict(lambda: defaultdict(list))
25 for order in recent_orders:
26 trader = order['trader_id']
27 symbol = order['symbol']
28 trader_activity[trader][symbol].append(order)
29
30 # Check each trader/symbol for layering
31 for trader, symbols in trader_activity.items():
32 for symbol, symbol_orders in symbols.items():
33 # Separate by status
34 placed = [o for o in symbol_orders if o['status'] == 'placed']
35 canceled = [o for o in symbol_orders if o['status'] == 'canceled']
36 filled = [o for o in symbol_orders if o['status'] == 'filled']
37
38 if len(canceled) < 3:
39 continue
40
41 # Calculate cancel/place ratio
42 cancel_ratio = len(canceled) / len(placed) if placed else 0
43
44 # Check for large cancels after small fills
45 if cancel_ratio > 0.7: # >70% canceled
46 canceled_size = sum(o['quantity'] for o in canceled)
47 filled_size = sum(o['quantity'] for o in filled) if filled else 0
48
49 if filled_size > 0 and canceled_size / filled_size > 10:
50 # Large cancels relative to fills
51 alerts.append(SurveillanceAlert(
52 alert_id=str(uuid.uuid4()),
53 timestamp=datetime.utcnow(),
54 pattern_type='layering',
55 severity=AlertSeverity.HIGH,
56 trader_id=trader,
57 symbol=symbol,
58 description=f"Layering detected: {cancel_ratio*100:.0f}% cancel ratio",
59 evidence={
60 'placed_orders': len(placed),
61 'canceled_orders': len(canceled),
62 'filled_orders': len(filled),
63 'cancel_ratio': cancel_ratio,
64 'canceled_size': canceled_size,
65 'filled_size': filled_size,
66 'orders': symbol_orders
67 },
68 confidence=min(cancel_ratio, 0.9)
69 ))
70
71 return alerts
721class FrontRunningDetector(SurveillanceRule):
2 """
3 Detect front-running (trading ahead of client orders).
4
5 Pattern:
6 1. Proprietary trade in direction of client order
7 2. Client order executes
8 3. Proprietary trade reverses with profit
9 """
10
11 def __init__(self):
12 super().__init__("front_running", AlertSeverity.CRITICAL)
13
14 def check(self, trades: List[Dict[str, Any]],
15 orders: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
16 """Check for front-running patterns."""
17 alerts = []
18
19 # Separate proprietary and client trades
20 cutoff = datetime.utcnow() - timedelta(hours=1)
21 recent_trades = [t for t in trades if t['timestamp'] > cutoff]
22
23 prop_trades = [t for t in recent_trades if t['account_type'] == 'proprietary']
24 client_trades = [t for t in recent_trades if t['account_type'] == 'client']
25
26 # Group by symbol
27 symbols = set(t['symbol'] for t in prop_trades + client_trades)
28
29 for symbol in symbols:
30 symbol_prop = [t for t in prop_trades if t['symbol'] == symbol]
31 symbol_client = [t for t in client_trades if t['symbol'] == symbol]
32
33 # Check for prop trades before client trades
34 for client_trade in symbol_client:
35 # Find prop trades in 60 seconds before client trade
36 window_start = client_trade['timestamp'] - timedelta(seconds=60)
37 window_end = client_trade['timestamp']
38
39 prior_prop = [
40 t for t in symbol_prop
41 if window_start <= t['timestamp'] < window_end
42 and t['side'] == client_trade['side'] # Same direction
43 ]
44
45 if prior_prop:
46 # Check if prop trader reversed position after client trade
47 window_after = client_trade['timestamp'] + timedelta(minutes=15)
48
49 reverse_prop = [
50 t for t in symbol_prop
51 if client_trade['timestamp'] < t['timestamp'] <= window_after
52 and t['side'] != client_trade['side'] # Opposite direction
53 and t['trader_id'] in [p['trader_id'] for p in prior_prop]
54 ]
55
56 if reverse_prop:
57 # Calculate profit
58 avg_entry = sum(t['price'] * t['quantity'] for t in prior_prop) / sum(t['quantity'] for t in prior_prop)
59 avg_exit = sum(t['price'] * t['quantity'] for t in reverse_prop) / sum(t['quantity'] for t in reverse_prop)
60
61 profit_per_share = abs(avg_exit - avg_entry)
62 total_profit = profit_per_share * sum(t['quantity'] for t in prior_prop)
63
64 if total_profit > 100: # Minimum profit threshold
65 alerts.append(SurveillanceAlert(
66 alert_id=str(uuid.uuid4()),
67 timestamp=datetime.utcnow(),
68 pattern_type='front_running',
69 severity=AlertSeverity.CRITICAL,
70 trader_id=prior_prop[0]['trader_id'],
71 symbol=symbol,
72 description=f"Front-running detected: ${total_profit:.2f} profit",
73 evidence={
74 'proprietary_entry': prior_prop,
75 'client_order': client_trade,
76 'proprietary_exit': reverse_prop,
77 'estimated_profit': total_profit
78 },
79 confidence=0.85
80 ))
81
82 return alerts
831class QuoteStuffingDetector(SurveillanceRule):
2 """
3 Detect quote stuffing (flood market with orders to slow competitors).
4
5 Indicators:
6 - High message rate
7 - Most orders canceled quickly
8 - Minimal execution
9 """
10
11 def __init__(self, threshold_per_second: int = 100):
12 super().__init__("quote_stuffing", AlertSeverity.MEDIUM)
13 self.threshold = threshold_per_second
14
15 def check(self, trades: List[Dict[str, Any]],
16 orders: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
17 """Check for quote stuffing."""
18 alerts = []
19
20 # Analyze order rate in 1-second windows
21 cutoff = datetime.utcnow() - timedelta(minutes=5)
22 recent_orders = [o for o in orders if o['timestamp'] > cutoff]
23
24 # Group by trader and second
25 trader_seconds = defaultdict(lambda: defaultdict(list))
26
27 for order in recent_orders:
28 trader = order['trader_id']
29 second = order['timestamp'].replace(microsecond=0)
30 trader_seconds[trader][second].append(order)
31
32 # Check for high message rates
33 for trader, seconds in trader_seconds.items():
34 for second, second_orders in seconds.items():
35 order_count = len(second_orders)
36
37 if order_count > self.threshold:
38 # High message rate
39 canceled = [o for o in second_orders if o['status'] == 'canceled']
40 filled = [o for o in second_orders if o['status'] == 'filled']
41
42 cancel_ratio = len(canceled) / order_count
43
44 if cancel_ratio > 0.9: # >90% canceled
45 alerts.append(SurveillanceAlert(
46 alert_id=str(uuid.uuid4()),
47 timestamp=datetime.utcnow(),
48 pattern_type='quote_stuffing',
49 severity=AlertSeverity.MEDIUM,
50 trader_id=trader,
51 symbol='MULTIPLE',
52 description=f"Quote stuffing: {order_count} orders/sec, {cancel_ratio*100:.0f}% canceled",
53 evidence={
54 'orders_per_second': order_count,
55 'canceled_orders': len(canceled),
56 'filled_orders': len(filled),
57 'cancel_ratio': cancel_ratio,
58 'timestamp': second.isoformat()
59 },
60 confidence=min(order_count / 1000, 0.8)
61 ))
62
63 return alerts
641class AlertManager:
2 """Manage surveillance alerts and investigations."""
3
4 def __init__(self, db_connection):
5 self.db = db_connection
6
7 def save_alert(self, alert: SurveillanceAlert):
8 """Save alert to database."""
9 cursor = self.db.cursor()
10 cursor.execute("""
11 INSERT INTO surveillance_alerts (
12 alert_id, timestamp, pattern_type, severity,
13 trader_id, symbol, description, evidence, confidence,
14 status
15 ) VALUES (%s, %s, %s, %s, %s, %s, %s, %s, %s, 'open')
16 """, (
17 alert.alert_id,
18 alert.timestamp,
19 alert.pattern_type,
20 alert.severity.name,
21 alert.trader_id,
22 alert.symbol,
23 alert.description,
24 json.dumps(alert.evidence),
25 alert.confidence
26 ))
27 self.db.commit()
28
29 def get_open_alerts(self) -> List[SurveillanceAlert]:
30 """Get all open alerts."""
31 cursor = self.db.cursor()
32 cursor.execute("""
33 SELECT alert_id, timestamp, pattern_type, severity,
34 trader_id, symbol, description, evidence, confidence
35 FROM surveillance_alerts
36 WHERE status = 'open'
37 ORDER BY severity DESC, timestamp DESC
38 """)
39
40 alerts = []
41 for row in cursor:
42 alerts.append(SurveillanceAlert(
43 alert_id=row[0],
44 timestamp=row[1],
45 pattern_type=row[2],
46 severity=AlertSeverity[row[3]],
47 trader_id=row[4],
48 symbol=row[5],
49 description=row[6],
50 evidence=json.loads(row[7]),
51 confidence=row[8]
52 ))
53
54 return alerts
55
56 def escalate_alert(self, alert_id: str, analyst_id: str, notes: str):
57 """Escalate alert to compliance team."""
58 cursor = self.db.cursor()
59 cursor.execute("""
60 UPDATE surveillance_alerts
61 SET status = 'escalated',
62 assigned_to = %s,
63 escalation_notes = %s,
64 escalation_time = NOW()
65 WHERE alert_id = %s
66 """, (analyst_id, notes, alert_id))
67 self.db.commit()
68Surveillance results (2020-2024):
1Pattern Type Alerts Escalated Confirmed Action Taken
2──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
3Wash trading 23 18 12 Account suspended
4Layering 15 12 8 Warning issued
5Front-running 8 8 3 Trader terminated
6Quote stuffing 12 4 2 Rate limits
7Marking close 6 5 1 Fine imposed
81Alert ID: ALT-2023-00142
2Date: 2023-06-15
3Pattern: Wash Trading
4Trader: TRD-8845
5Symbol: XYZ Corp
6
7Evidence:
8- 47 buy trades, 45 sell trades in 2-hour window
9- 98.3% wash ratio (matched buy/sell volume)
10- Net position change: +200 shares
11- Created $2.4M fake volume (3% of daily volume)
12
13Investigation:
14- Reviewed order timestamps: Suspicious clustering
15- Checked account relationships: Same beneficial owner
16- Analyzed price impact: Minimal (wash trading confirmed)
17
18Action: Account suspended, $50k fine, reported to regulator
19Trade surveillance is essential for market integrity and regulatory compliance. The patterns are detectable with proper monitoring.
Technical Writer
NordVarg Team is a software engineer at NordVarg specializing in high-performance financial systems and type-safe programming.
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